50s, 40s, 30s, Snow or Rain

  • High pressure briefly in the area this morning before a front moves through late. More clouds roll into Northwestern Connecticut this afternoon. Temps finally near average.
  • A flurry tonight, but nothing major!
  • Some light rain on Monday with highs around 40.
  • Milder for Tuesday with highs around 50 degrees.
  • Watching a storm for Wednesday and Thursday **warning…rant coming**

Okay so you might have heard some things about a storm for Wednesday and Thursday. Right now, we’re looking at a storm that has two pieces of energy that have to come together to form a storm. The first is up near Alaska right now, the second hasn’t formed but will over Texas. These two pieces have barely matured to get this storm going. The models are flip flopping, and they all peg different solutions. The GFS 00z run showed no snow at all…the 06z run showed almost a foot for some of Connecticut. The EURO was yet again very high with snow, and the only player consistently low with snowfall is the CMC. For those of you who have been paying attention to the weather over the last month, you might have heard me talk about the Canadian. This has been the consistent model with all of the storms. It’s been the model to downplay every snow event in the last month.

So let’s talk about the trend then. If the only consistent model recently has been the Canadian, and has also showed us getting almost no snow with this event, my feeling is that it’s going to be a bust. We’ll watch it very closely but I’d bet that come 48 hours out, things come into play for either a rain event, or a miss altogether! Stay tuned and Justin will have updates tonight.

Check in with me onTwitter/Facebookto watch this storm!

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