Much Cooler Thursday; Rain Returns Friday

Your Wednesday evening Connecticut Weather Forecast Update from Senior Meteorologist Fred Campagna

  • Connecticut received 1-3.5″ of much-needed rain on Wednesday.
  • A north-northeast breeze developing late Wednesday will continue for a couple of days.
  • Much cooler weather is likely into the weekend.
  • Thursday will be mostly cloudy, breezy to windy, with highs near 60. The wind may gust over 30 mph near the Shoreline.
  • The persistent northeast breeze over the next couple of days will contribute to minor coastal flooding in New Haven and Fairfield counties near high tide.
  • Highs tides are in the mid-afternoon 2-3 pm, and middle of the night 2-3 am Thursday and Friday in SW CT.
  • Rain returns Thursday night into Friday. It will be steadiest near the Shoreline.
  • Cool and breezy conditions continue, with highs only in the low to mid 50s on Friday!
  • Another 1-2″ of rain is possible between Thursday night and Friday night, with the best chance of over an inch near the Shoreline.
  • Rain should end by early Saturday morning.
  • Saturday looks mostly cloudy, breezy, and very cool. Highs will only be in the low to mid 50s again.
  • Hurricane Joaquin continues to strengthen near the Bahamas. The storm will meander southwest until Friday when it turns north.
  • It may become a major hurricane in the next couple of days.
  • While there is still a lot of uncertainty regarding the storm’s track after Friday, the consensus is for it to hit the Mid-Atlantic states this weekend.
  • If the storm follows the National Hurricane Center projected track, then there will be rain and gusty, but likely not damaging, wind in CT late Sunday into Monday.
  • Below are three scenarios that are still on the table for Joaquin:
A faster and slightly south track that brings the storm into North or South Carolina as a hurricane in the mid-weekend. CT would get some rain late in the weekend, but little wind.
A faster and slightly south track that brings the storm into North or South Carolina as a hurricane in the mid-weekend. CT would get some rain late in the weekend, but little wind.
The normally reliable European model insists that the storm will not be drawn to the US coast by a strong area of low pressure over the SE US, and it will ultimately escape to sea. There would be heavy rain, unrelated to Joaquin, in the Mid-Atlantic, but no impact in CT.
The normally reliable European model insists that the storm will not be drawn to the US coast by a strong area of low pressure over the SE US, and it will ultimately escape to sea. There would be heavy rain, unrelated to Joaquin, in the Mid-Atlantic, but no impact in CT.
This closest to the National Hurricane Center forecast. If the storm hits between Outer Banks and Del-Mar-Va Peninsula, then there would be a major impact there, and a lot of rain, with gusty winds in CT Sunday PM into Monday. This would be a higher impact outcome for CT than scenario 1.
This closest to the National Hurricane Center forecast. If the storm hits between Outer Banks and Del-Mar-Va Peninsula, then there would be a major impact there, and a lot of rain, with gusty winds in CT Sunday PM into Monday. This would be a higher impact outcome for CT than scenario 1.

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