This has been our winter so far…above average temps, and way below average snowfall. To date we should see nearly a foot of snow. Where we are right now? At about an inch.
An inch of snow, rare? Yes…unheard of? No. Does that mean winter is finished? Absolutely not. Before we talk a little bit about the beach, let’s take a look back a year.
Winter 2014-2015 is ripe in your head as a terrible winter and by all means it was. But it didn’t start off that way. From November 2014 until the middle of January, parts of Connecticut saw just 5 inches of snow.
Everything changed in the last week of January 2015. A major storm barreled up the coast, dropping almost 3 feet of snow in parts of the state, completely changing the pattern for the rest of the season. Let’s head back to the beach.
Okay, in order for us to get the moisture we need to give us a lot of snow, we have to look out into the water, check it out. This is the a map of sea surface temperature anomolies, or how warm the water is compared to normal. Warm water means more fuel for storms, and that typically means more rain or snow falls. (Back to me) We had the same setup last winter, so we should see that again this year right? Well not necessarily.
Last winter was relentless with storm after storm moving up the coast. Starting late January, it snowed over a dozen times in the winter. The problem is, this winter is missing something. The missing piece is EXTREME cold we had to the north this past winter.
So unless something changes this season, we will likely see storms that bring milder air, featuring more rain storms than snow storms…if we do get cold air in place, it will likely feature more of a mix, than statewide snow. It’s also important to note that the last time we had a strong el nino pattern, the shoreline saw 8.9 inches for the whole winter. That was back in 97-98. I’m Meteorologist Sam Kantrow, news8.