“Drought”, a word that has been tossed around a lot recently across the United States is quickly getting worse in Connecticut. Early Thursday morning the weekly drought update from the U.S. Drought Monitor has put 44 percent of Connecticut in an “Extreme Drought” (Area in red). This is the 4th highest level out of 5! Since the beginning of the year, parts of northern Connecticut are close to 13 inches below normal and even the shoreline has roughly a 6 inch deficit. However, this has been going on much longer than the beginning of this year, you can DOUBLE these deficit numbers if you go all the way back to the beginning of 2015. Above is an image from the Drought Monitor, a good portion of the County is in a drought. South Eastern United States has been in the news a lot lately due to wildfires that are spreading quickly because of the dry conditions.
With most of Connecticut now under a “Drought Watch“, residents are being urged to lower water usage in their homes. According to the Climate Prediction Center, it’s going to get worse before it gets better. Everyday here in Connecticut that it remains dry we add another .12 inches to the deficit! The graphic below is from the Climate Prediction Center showing the precipitations probability for the next 3 months. Areas in the green are likely to see above average rainfall and areas in the tan are predicted to see below average. Connecticut is under an area highlighted “EC” which stands for equal chance. Looking at some of the longer range models, there are a few hints for rain, but not much at all. One reliable model predicts Connecticut will only see an inch and a half of rain through early December!