The Christmas Snow Stats

(WTNH) — You know the song…I’m dreaming of a white Christmas.   With two consecutive years of very warm weather on Christmas Day, a white Christmas does indeed seem to be something that we all “used to know”.

With Christmas now only a few weeks away,  have you gotten the decorations yet?  Well those Christmas lights are always much more beautiful with a fresh blanket of snow on them. So have you ever wondered what the chance of snow in your town is? Here’s what it looks like.

First off, we have seen snow many times on Christmas before. Back in 2010 we saw over a foot of snow in parts of Connecticut, even temporarily shutting down Metro-North. On the other side of this, the last two years we saw temps in the 50s and 60s on Christmas Day! So what are the chances Santa will get to land his sleigh on a white roof? In general, they’re pretty good for parts of New England, and not so great for the shoreline in our state.

It is important to note that this map shows the likelihood of one inch of snow on the ground during Christmas Day…it does not mean snow falling that day.

If you head to upstate New York, New Hampshire, Vermont, or Maine, your shot for snow is pretty good. Somewhere between 75 and 100%…Closer to home the odds of a green and brown Christmas unfortunately are greater than a white one.

The best shot for snow on the ground on December 25th is up in the Litchfield Hills where you’ve got a 90% shot in some areas.  North of I-84 in Tolland and Windham Counties you have about a 50/50 shot of seeing snow, and down to the shoreline, your chances go down to about a 1 in 5 shot right near the beach.

So will we see snow this Christmas? There are indeed a few long range forecast models indicating the chance for it, but we’ll have to see as we get closer to the end of December.

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