A midweek soaker should be enough to push the April rain totals to above normal for all of Connecticut. While patience is wearing thin for those who want to get outside and enjoy some nice spring weather, the long-range outlook does not offer too much promise for lengthy dry stretches in early May.
Both the European (ECMWF) and American (GFS) computer models show near to above normal precipitation in the last week of April and first week of May. We know that the bulk of the rain this week will come on Tuesday and Wednesday. Looking at next week, the best chances for rain seem to be around May 2 (Tuesday) and May 5 (Friday).
The normal amount of rain in late-April through early-May is just shy of two inches. Most of the computer models project more than two inches of rain in the next two weeks. This dreary pattern may be a pain for athletes, landscapers, painters, etc., but it’s helpful for the drought. The severe drought in CT ended last week, and there may be more improvement over the next month.