Heavy showers likely Thursday into Friday

European model rain forecast

(WTNH) — A few light showers are possible Wednesday morning as a storm system brushes by New England. There is a much better chance of rain on Thursday, and some of the showers will be heavy Thursday PM into Friday AM. The potential exists for more than an inch of rain in Connecticut by midday Friday.

key fc dma 12km rpm sat rad temps wind short14 Heavy showers likely Thursday into Friday

The center of the storm system will be over the Great Lakes on Thursday, but a strong jet stream ahead of it will provide a favorable environment for heavy showers, and possibly thunderstorms to come rolling through the Northeast. We do not expect severe thunderstorms with this system at this time.

key fc dma 12km rpm sat rad temps wind short21 Heavy showers likely Thursday into Friday

It will not be raining the whole time from midday Wednesday into Friday morning, and most of the rain may come from heavier downpours instead of a slow and steady filling of the rain gauges. Our computer models are showing a wide range of possible totals from this storm, and that’s due to the “convective” nature of the showers. My best estimate is that many spots will see around an inch of rain between Wednesday morning’s light system and the heavier downpours Thursday afternoon into Friday morning.

key fc dma nam acc precip Heavy showers likely Thursday into Friday
NAM Model rain forecast
key fc dma rpm 12km acc precip2 Heavy showers likely Thursday into Friday
RPM Model rain forecast
key fc dma gfs acc precip Heavy showers likely Thursday into Friday
GFS model rain forecast
chroma dma ecmwf acc precip3 Heavy showers likely Thursday into Friday
European model rain forecast

With a little luck, the storm will get far enough away that the shower threat diminishes on Friday afternoon. Stay with News8 for the latest on the Memorial Day weekend forecast.

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